When the NFL season kicks off Week 1 on Thursday, it’ll mark the 103rd year for the league that was founded in Canton, Ohio, between the end of World War I and the dawn of the second World War.
From those humble beginnings has emerged a fall ritual and the perfect partner to drive U.S. betting sites.
To get you ready for kickoff, USBettingReport.com utilized data from SportsOddsHistory.com to track historical betting trends over the past decade.
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NFL Betting Trends for Week 1
Underdog ATS Record
Home Teams ATS
Legal online sports betting sites list Kansas City as the favorite to repeat as Super Bowl champion at +600. Philadelphia is second at +750.
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Underdogs Typically Thrive in Week 1
Since 2013, underdogs have come out on top against the spread more often than not, posting an 86-68-5 (55.66%) cover percentage.
The Houston Texans are the biggest underdog of Week 1. If you like our advice, you can use NFL betting promos to back Houston getting 10 points on the road against Baltimore.
Week 1 underdogs cover at a higher rate than home teams since 2013, with home teams posting an ATS record of 82-71-5 (53.48%).
The best year, record-wise, for underdogs (ATS) was in 2021, when those teams went 12-4, while the worst year for those same teams came in 2020, when they went 7-9.
For NFL home teams, the best year for Week 1 dominance against the spread was in 2019, when they went 10-5-1, followed by 2014’s total of 10-6.
The worst year for home teams in the NFL’s opening week of the regular season was in 2017 when those squads went 6-8-1.
As the nation’s attention turns to Arrowhead Stadium for Thursday’s Kansas City Chiefs-Detroit Lions opening night showdown, NFL bettors might be in better shape should they throw down their wagers on Patrick Mahomes and company, rather than Dan Campbell and the visitors from the Motor City.
Based on how home teams and favored squads have fared in Week 1 of late, betting on the Chiefs may be the better play, based on recent trends at least. Kansas City is down to a 4.5-point favorite in the game at BetMGM Sportsbook.
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Christopher Boan covers sports betting and casino gambling for U.S. Betting Report. He has reported on sports and sports betting in Arizona for nearly a decade, including stops at ArizonaSports.com, the Tucson Weekly and the Green Valley News.